The Prediction Problem

The Prediction Problem

What’s the harm in making pessimistic predictions?  I mean, after all, negative predictions are not reality.  They are just predictions.  So what could they possibly hurt?  They can even be kind of fun, like if you predict the football team that...
Halloween is for Hemorrhoids!

Halloween is for Hemorrhoids!

I might have a Hemorrhoid.  Either that or something far worse.   Too much information?  YES, it is!  Way too much. I didn’t even wait to overshare six paragraphs down.   I threw you in the deep end right away.   I overshared because I want to talk about...