The Prediction Problem

The Prediction Problem

by | Mar 12, 2026 | Imperfect Best

What’s the harm in making pessimistic predictions?  I mean, after all, negative predictions are not reality.  They are just predictions.  So what could they possibly hurt?  They can even be kind of fun, like if you predict the football team that...
The Future Knocks

The Future Knocks

by | Feb 9, 2026 | Imperfect Best

Two years after I was born, in 1977, the Commodore PET hit the market.  PET stood for Personal Electronic Transactor which must have been a fancy way of saying “personal computer” because that’s what it was, the first successfully marketed PC for home use. ...